鍦嬪绲�(t菕ng)瑷堝眬鏈嶅嫏(w霉)妤�(y猫)瑾�(di脿o)鏌ヤ腑蹇�

涓湅鐗╂祦鑸囬噰璩艰伅(li谩n)鍚堟渻

涓€銆佷腑鍦嬪埗閫犳キ(y猫)閲囪臣缍�(j墨ng)鐞嗘寚鏁�(sh霉)閬嬭鎯呮硜

8鏈堜唤锛屼腑鍦嬪埗閫犳キ(y猫)閲囪臣缍�(j墨ng)鐞嗘寚鏁�(sh霉)(PMI)鐐�51.0%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鐣ラ檷0.1鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸锛岃〃鏄庡埗閫犳キ(y猫)绺介珨骞崇┅(w臎n)閬嬭銆�

寰炰紒妤�(y猫)瑕�(gu墨)妯＄湅锛屽ぇ鍨嬩紒妤�(y猫)PMI鐐�52.0%锛岃垏涓婃湀鎸佸钩;涓瀷浼佹キ(y猫)PMI鐐�51.6%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓婂崌0.4鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸;灏忓瀷浼佹キ(y猫)PMI鐐�47.7%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓嬮檷0.9鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸銆�

寰炲垎椤炴寚鏁�(sh霉)鐪�锛屽湪妲�(g貌u)鎴愬埗閫犳キ(y猫)PMI鐨�5鍊嬪垎椤炴寚鏁�(sh霉)涓�锛岀敓鐢�(ch菐n)鎸囨暩(sh霉)銆佹柊瑷傚柈鎸囨暩(sh霉)鍜屼緵鎳�(y墨ng)鍟嗛厤閫佹檪闁撴寚鏁�(sh霉)鍧囬珮浜庤嚚鐣岄粸锛屽師鏉愭枡搴瓨鎸囨暩(sh霉)鍜屽緸妤�(y猫)浜哄摗鎸囨暩(sh霉)鍧囦綆浜庤嚚鐣岄粸銆�

鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�53.5%锛岄洊姣斾笂鏈堝洖钀�0.5鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸锛屼絾浠嶄綅浜庤嚚鐣岄粸浠ヤ笂锛屽弽鏄犲埗閫犳キ(y猫)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)閲忚垏涓婃湀鐩告瘮鏈夋墍澧為暦銆�

鏂拌▊鍠寚鏁�(sh霉)鐐�52.0%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓婂崌0.3鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸锛岄€ｇ簩(x霉)4鍊嬫湀鍥炲崌锛岃〃鏄庡埗閫犳キ(y猫)甯傚牬闇€姹傛寔绾�(x霉)鎭㈠京銆�

鍘熸潗鏂欏韩瀛樻寚鏁�(sh霉)鐐�47.3%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓嬮檷0.6鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸锛岃〃鏄庡埗閫犳キ(y猫)涓昏鍘熸潗鏂欏韩瀛橀噺绻肩簩(x霉)娓涘皯銆�

寰炴キ(y猫)浜哄摗鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�49.4%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鐣ュ崌0.1鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸锛岃〃鏄庡埗閫犳キ(y猫)浼佹キ(y猫)鐢ㄥ伐鏅埃搴﹀熀鏈┅(w臎n)瀹�銆�

渚涙噳(y墨ng)鍟嗛厤閫佹檪闁撴寚鏁�(sh霉)鐐�50.4%锛岃垏涓婃湀鎸佸钩锛岄珮浜庤嚚鐣岄粸锛岃〃鏄庡埗閫犳キ(y猫)鍘熸潗鏂欎緵鎳�(y墨ng)鍟嗕氦璨ㄦ檪闁撲粛鍦ㄥ姞蹇€�

浜�銆佷腑鍦嬮潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)閲囪臣缍�(j墨ng)鐞嗘寚鏁�(sh霉)閬嬭鎯呮硜

8鏈堜唤锛岄潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)鍟嗗嫏(w霉)娲诲嫊鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�55.2%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓婂崌1.0鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸锛岄€ｇ簩(x霉)6鍊嬫湀浣嶄簬鑷ㄧ晫榛炰互涓娿€�

鍒嗚妤�(y猫)鐪�锛屽缓绛戞キ(y猫)鍟嗗嫏(w霉)娲诲嫊鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�60.2%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鍥炶惤0.3鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸銆傛湇鍕�(w霉)妤�(y猫)鍟嗗嫏(w霉)娲诲嫊鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�54.3%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓婂崌1.2鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸銆傚緸琛屾キ(y猫)澶ч鐪�锛岄惖璺亱杓�銆佽埅绌洪亱杓�銆佷綇瀹�銆侀浕淇″唬鎾浕瑕栬(w猫i)鏄熷偝杓告湇鍕�(w霉)绛夎妤�(y猫)鍟嗗嫏(w霉)娲诲嫊鎸囨暩(sh霉)浣嶄簬60.0%浠ヤ笂锛岃硣鏈競鍫存湇鍕�(w霉)銆佹埧鍦扮敘(ch菐n)绛夎妤�(y猫)鍟嗗嫏(w霉)娲诲嫊鎸囨暩(sh霉)浣嶄簬鑷ㄧ晫榛炰互涓�銆�

鏂拌▊鍠寚鏁�(sh霉)鐐�52.3%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓婂崌0.8鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸锛岃〃鏄庨潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)甯傚牬闇€姹傛寔绾�(x霉)鍥炴殩銆傚垎琛屾キ(y猫)鐪�锛屽缓绛戞キ(y猫)鏂拌▊鍠寚鏁�(sh霉)鐐�56.4%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓婂崌1.8鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸;鏈嶅嫏(w霉)妤�(y猫)鏂拌▊鍠寚鏁�(sh霉)鐐�51.5%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓婂崌0.5鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸銆�

鎶曞叆鍝佸児鏍兼寚鏁�(sh霉)鐐�51.9%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鍥炶惤1.1鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸锛屼綅浜庤嚚鐣岄粸浠ヤ笂锛岃〃鏄庨潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)浼佹キ(y猫)鐢ㄤ簬缍�(j墨ng)鐕熸椿鍕曠殑鎶曞叆鍝佸児鏍肩附楂旀疾骞呮湁鎵€鏀剁獎銆傚垎琛屾キ(y猫)鐪�锛屽缓绛戞キ(y猫)鎶曞叆鍝佸児鏍兼寚鏁�(sh霉)鐐�52.6%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鍥炶惤2.4鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸;鏈嶅嫏(w霉)妤�(y猫)鎶曞叆鍝佸児鏍兼寚鏁�(sh霉)鐐�51.7%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鍥炶惤1.0鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸銆�

閵峰敭鍍规牸鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�50.1%锛岃垏涓婃湀鎸佸钩锛屼綅浜庤嚚鐣岄粸浠ヤ笂锛岃〃鏄庨潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)閵峰敭鍍规牸绺介珨灏忓箙涓婃疾銆傚垎琛屾キ(y猫)鐪嬶紝寤虹瓚妤�(y猫)閵峰敭鍍规牸鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�52.2%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓婂崌0.9鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸;鏈嶅嫏(w霉)妤�(y猫)閵峰敭鍍规牸鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�49.8%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鐣ラ檷0.1鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸銆�

寰炴キ(y猫)浜哄摗鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�48.3%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鍥炲崌0.2鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸锛岃〃鏄庨潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)鐢ㄥ伐鏅埃搴︽湁鎵€鏀瑰杽銆傚垎琛屾キ(y猫)鐪�锛屽缓绛戞キ(y猫)寰炴キ(y猫)浜哄摗鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�54.2%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鍥炶惤2.0鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸;鏈嶅嫏(w霉)妤�(y猫)寰炴キ(y猫)浜哄摗鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�47.2%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鍥炲崌0.5鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸銆�

妤�(y猫)鍕�(w霉)娲诲嫊闋愭湡鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�62.1%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鐣ラ檷0.1鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸锛屼綅浜庤嚚鐣岄粸浠ヤ笂锛岃〃鏄庨潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)浼佹キ(y猫)鐧�(f膩)灞曚俊蹇冪┅(w臎n)瀹氥€傚垎琛屾キ(y猫)鐪�锛屽缓绛戞キ(y猫)妤�(y猫)鍕�(w霉)娲诲嫊闋愭湡鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�66.6%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓婂崌0.3鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸;鏈嶅嫏(w霉)妤�(y猫)妤�(y猫)鍕�(w霉)娲诲嫊闋愭湡鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐐�61.3%锛屾瘮涓婃湀鐣ラ檷0.1鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸銆�

涓夈€佷腑鍦嬬稖鍚圥MI鐢�(ch菐n)鍑烘寚鏁�(sh霉)閬嬭鎯呮硜

8鏈堜唤锛岀稖鍚圥MI鐢�(ch菐n)鍑烘寚鏁�(sh霉)鐐�54.5%锛屾瘮涓婃湀涓婂崌0.4鍊嬬櫨鍒嗛粸锛岃〃鏄庢垜鍦嬩紒妤�(y猫)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)缍�(j墨ng)鐕熸椿鍕曠辜绾�(x霉)鎭㈠京鍚戝ソ銆�

闄勬敞

1.涓昏鎸囨瑙ｉ噵

閲囪臣缍�(j墨ng)鐞嗘寚鏁�(sh霉)(PMI)锛屾槸閫氶亷灏嶄紒妤�(y猫)閲囪臣缍�(j墨ng)鐞嗙殑鏈堝害瑾�(di脿o)鏌ョ祼(ji茅)鏋滅当(t菕ng)瑷堝尟绺�銆佺法鍒惰€屾垚鐨勬寚鏁�(sh霉)锛屽畠娑佃搵浜嗕紒妤�(y猫)閲囪臣銆佺敓鐢�(ch菐n)銆佹祦閫氱瓑鍚勫€嬬挵(hu谩n)绡€(ji茅)锛屽寘鎷埗閫犳キ(y猫)鍜岄潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)闋�(l菒ng)鍩�锛屾槸鍦嬮殯涓婇€氱敤鐨勭洠(ji膩n)娓畯瑙€缍�(j墨ng)婵熻蛋鍕㈢殑鍏堣鎬ф寚鏁�(sh霉)涔嬩竴锛屽叿鏈夎純寮风殑闋愭脯銆侀爯璀︿綔鐢�銆傜稖鍚圥MI鐢�(ch菐n)鍑烘寚鏁�(sh霉)鏄疨MI鎸囨楂旂郴涓弽鏄犵暥鏈熷叏琛屾キ(y猫)(鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)鍜岄潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫))鐢�(ch菐n)鍑鸿畩鍖栨儏娉佺殑缍滃悎鎸囨暩(sh霉)銆侾MI楂樹簬50%鏅�锛屽弽鏄犵稉(j墨ng)婵熺附楂旇純涓婃湀鎿村嫉;浣庝簬50%锛屽墖鍙嶆槧缍�(j墨ng)婵熺附楂旇純涓婃湀鏀剁府銆�

2.瑾�(di脿o)鏌ヨ寖鍦�

娑夊強銆婂湅姘戠稉(j墨ng)婵熻妤�(y猫)鍒嗛銆�(GB/T4754-2017)涓埗閫犳キ(y猫)鐨�31鍊嬭妤�(y猫)澶ч锛�3000瀹惰(di脿o)鏌ユǎ鏈�;闈炲埗閫犳キ(y猫)鐨�37鍊嬭妤�(y猫)澶ч锛�4000瀹惰(di脿o)鏌ユǎ鏈€�

3.瑾�(di脿o)鏌ユ柟娉�

閲囪臣缍�(j墨ng)鐞嗚(di脿o)鏌ラ噰鐢≒PS(Probability Proportional to Size)鎶芥ǎ鏂规硶锛屼互鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)鎴栭潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)琛屾キ(y猫)澶ч鐐哄堡锛岃妤�(y猫)妯ｆ湰閲忔寜鍏跺鍔犲€煎崰鍏ㄩ儴鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)鎴栭潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)澧炲姞鍊肩殑姣旈噸鍒嗛厤锛屽堡鍏�(n猫i)妯ｆ湰浣跨敤鑸囦紒妤�(y猫)涓荤嚐妤�(y猫)鍕�(w霉)鏀跺叆鎴愭瘮渚嬬殑姒傜巼鎶藉彇銆�

鏈(di脿o)鏌ョ敱鍦嬪绲�(t菕ng)瑷堝眬鐩村爆瑾�(di脿o)鏌ラ殜鍏烽珨绲勭箶瀵︽柦锛屽埄鐢ㄥ湅瀹剁当(t菕ng)瑷堣伅(li谩n)缍�(w菐ng)鐩村牨绯荤当(t菕ng)灏嶄紒妤�(y猫)閲囪臣缍�(j墨ng)鐞嗛€茶鏈堝害鍟忓嵎瑾�(di脿o)鏌ャ€�

4.瑷堢畻鏂规硶

(1)鍒嗛鎸囨暩(sh霉)鐨勮▓绠楁柟娉�銆傚埗閫犳キ(y猫)閲囪臣缍�(j墨ng)鐞嗚(di脿o)鏌ユ寚妯欓珨绯诲寘鎷敓鐢�(ch菐n)銆佹柊瑷傚柈銆佹柊鍑哄彛瑷傚柈銆佸湪鎵嬭▊鍠€佺敘(ch菐n)鎴愬搧搴瓨銆侀噰璩奸噺銆侀€插彛銆佷富瑕佸師鏉愭枡璩奸€插児鏍�銆佸嚭寤犲児鏍�銆佸師鏉愭枡搴瓨銆佸緸妤�(y猫)浜哄摗銆佷緵鎳�(y墨ng)鍟嗛厤閫佹檪闁�銆佺敓鐢�(ch菐n)缍�(j墨ng)鐕熸椿鍕曢爯鏈熺瓑13鍊嬪垎椤炴寚鏁�(sh霉)銆傞潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)閲囪臣缍�(j墨ng)鐞嗚(di脿o)鏌ユ寚妯欓珨绯诲寘鎷晢鍕�(w霉)娲诲嫊銆佹柊瑷傚柈銆佹柊鍑哄彛瑷傚柈銆佸湪鎵嬭▊鍠�銆佸瓨璨ㄣ€佹姇鍏ュ搧鍍规牸銆侀姺鍞児鏍笺€佸緸妤�(y猫)浜哄摗銆佷緵鎳�(y墨ng)鍟嗛厤閫佹檪闁�銆佹キ(y猫)鍕�(w霉)娲诲嫊闋愭湡绛�10鍊嬪垎椤炴寚鏁�(sh霉)銆傚垎椤炴寚鏁�(sh霉)閲囩敤鎿存暎鎸囨暩(sh霉)瑷堢畻鏂规硶锛屽嵆姝ｅ悜鍥炵瓟鐨勪紒妤�(y猫)鍊嬫暩(sh霉)鐧惧垎姣斿姞涓婂洖绛斾笉璁婄殑鐧惧垎姣旂殑涓€鍗娿€傜敱浜庨潪鍒堕€犳キ(y猫)娌掓湁鍚堟垚鎸囨暩(sh霉)锛屽湅闅涗笂閫氬父鐢ㄥ晢鍕�(w霉)娲诲嫊鎸囨暩(sh霉)鍙嶆槧闈炲埗閫犳キ(y猫)缍�(j墨ng)婵熺櫦(f膩)灞曠殑绺介珨璁婂寲鎯呮硜銆�

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